
The UFC is having it’s biggest event ever this weekend in Las Vegas with UFC 100. The following are my picks:
Lesnar vs. Mir
I’m going with Lesnar here based on the fact that he has had to have learned a lot since the first fight on how to avoid submissions. The first fight proved that he is too big and strong for Mir the question is whether he can avoid being put in a submission. Mir’s only chance is similar to the first fight if Brock comes out like a bucking bronco and puts himself into a leg lock or other submission.
Georges St-Pierre vs. Thiago Alves
Alves poses a challenge to St-Pierre that he hasn’t seen before in that Alves is just as big as he is and is a better striker on his feet. Actually it will be interesting to see if Alves makes weight for the fight as he has a history of missing weight. If St-Pierre can avoid the early KO he will impose his will over the length of the fight similar to what he did against BJ Penn. You hear that GSP won’t be able to hold down Alves on the ground, but I’ll believe it when I see it. GSP had little trouble holding down Hughes, Koshcheck, Fitch, and Penn so I’ll be surprised if Alves is able to get back to his feet
Henderson vs. Bisping
I’ve been going back and forth on this one, only because one of these days Henderson is going to show his age and he is going to be half the fighter he was from one fight to the next. That being said I am still picking him because I think Henderson’s wrestling will dictate where the fight will be and I see him landing one of his big straight rights knocking the Brit back to Liverpool
Fitch vs. Silva
An interesting fight as Fitch tries to avenge the loss of his teammate Josh Koscheck. Thiago comes in with an 11-0 record and while he looked lost on his feet he wound up knocking out Koscheck. I think Fitch is a better all-around fighter than Koscheck and grinds his way to a unanimous decision
Coleman vs. Bonnar
Coleman is a pioneer of the sport and I would like to pick him, but I see Coleman gassing and Bonnar taking control midway through the second. Unfortunately that means we’ll have to watch Bonnar fight again. I thought after his dismantling in his last fight Jon Jones that we would not have to see him again.
Akiyama vs. Belcher
Belcher has been improving fight to fight, but he has a serious challenge in Akiyama who has been tearing it up in Japan recently winning fights by both submission and knockouts. A lot of overseas fighters have struggled in their octagon debut, but I see Akiyama pulling out the win in this fight.
Other fights
Mac Danzig vs. Jim Miller – Miller (I can’t pick against the guy from Jersey)
Jon Jones vs Jake O’Brien – O’Brien (Everyone is picking Jones as the next best thing, but he has a stiff test in O’Brien who probably has the edge with respect to wrestling
Dong Hyun Kim vs. TJ Grant – Hyun Kim (Should be an exciting fight, but Kim’s experience in bigger fights will prevail
CB Dolloway vs. Tom Lawlor – Dolloway (See what Bader did to Lawlor, I see Dolloway doing the same thing although it may be a more grinding GnP rather than a one punch knockout